Sportsbooks and Poker

Cincinnati-Kansas City (-7, 54.5) Opened -7, 50.5 🏈61% tickets, 82% handle on KC 🏈82% bets but 49% money on OVER 🖥Duffy off massive day, plus NFL week, both sides, AFC total 💲Bet it at GT Bets! https://t.co/IrRbYEUjPH 100% bonus on initial deposit http://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Hawks rout, latest LateInfo easy winner in historic basketball season. Last day of massive sale on Stevie Vincent http://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

@Danny_Gambles @grpwins @ToddFuhrman He's dead wrong. So many proven systems that deal with overreaction, regression to mean, etc all about betting the numbers. Keep the books in biz for the rest of us though.

Anything that has to do with inductive rather than deductive such as bet on the team you think win because the team that wins covers 90% of the time. I've heard similar things about betting on better free throw shooting or rushing team, etc. Shocked at how few know difference. https://twitter.com/ToddFuhrman/status/1486404328592076800?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

@wiseguyinsider So the team that wins the coin flip still has the huge advantage.

@wiseguyinsider Then what happens if each team gets eight points?

My NFL OT solution: start OT the way regulation ended. If KC had ball at own 30 as game ended, that's how OT starts. Hence, teams that get a late TD, instead of kicking extra point to tie, they have incentive to go for two to win and avoid the other team getting ball back.

Holy shit. KC just scored again in OT! https://t.co/WnfJ1ThfOE

From MyBookie NFC 49ers +3.5 Rams -3.5 Over/Under: 47 AFC Bengals +7 Bills -7 Bengals +7 Chiefs -7 https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyOXrZzxC638nWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Bengals-Titans (-3.5, 47.5) Opened -2.5, 46.5 🏈61% bets, 82% handle on Titans 🏈68, 95 on OVER 🖥Masterlockline with strongest side and total in industry on this game 💲Bet at MyBookie https://t.co/dXgFMA5j5r 100% sign-up bonus NOW http://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

@KevinPStewart I mean I like the Soviet Anthem. I'm talking just the anthem, not the evil empire and would recognize someone singing it even though I speak no Russian. Don't think I would if Marvin Gaye did a comparable version. That's what rules it out for me.

@KevinPStewart Saw it live, but stirs a lot of emotion. If I knew the US National Anthem but knew no English, I don't think I would have recognized the song. And Marvin Gaye is one of my all-time faves, ahead of Whitney or Meatloaf. Like top 5. Remake any song but the National Anthem.

The late Whitney Houston's is all-time #1, but this has to be top 5. Meatloaf at MLB All-Star game https://t.co/KWV53ZRMYl

Best College Basketball Teams to Bet on and Against this Season #FreeVegasPicks #SportsService #ParlayPicks #ComputerBettingSystem #SportsBettingService http://dlvr.it/SHVcFn?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Best College Basketball Teams to Bet on and Against this Season http://www.joeduffy.net/blog/2022/01/best-college-basketball-teams-to-bet-on-and-against-this-season/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

I can't give away all my secrets and name names, but I assure you, several high-profile sites have models based way too heavily on recent play, spitting in the face of regression to the mean, a pro bettor's friend. Thus, said models are great fades because they chase square lines

Likely Next Steelers QB, Raiders Head Coach Revealed in Sportsbook Odds #BettingFormulas #SportsLocks #VegasInsiders #FreeExpertSportsPicks #VegasInsider http://dlvr.it/SHRVxZ?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Likely Next Steelers QB, Raiders Head Coach Revealed in Sportsbook Odds https://www.joeduffy.net/blog/2022/01/likely-next-steelers-qb-raiders-head-coach-revealed-in-sportsbook-odds/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

This is true. While eight games is a small sample size, the smallest margin of cover was by 10.5. https://twitter.com/ChelsaMessinger/status/1483819504039874568?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Matt Stafford Super bowl MVP? What Are the odds? #GamblingTwitter #SportsService #FreeExpertSportsPicks #ComputerBettingSystem #BettingFormulas http://dlvr.it/SHLz1m?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Matt Stafford Super bowl MVP? What Are the odds? http://www.joeduffy.net/blog/2022/01/matt-stafford-super-bowl-mvp-what-are-the-odds/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

#Niners-Dallas (-3, 51) Open -3.5, 50.5 🏈53% bets, just 29% of money on #Cowboys 🏈59% of bets, 69% of cash OVER 🖥Duffy, 3-1, side and total on said game 💲The lowest moneyline juice of any vetted sportsbook is BetNow https://t.co/Ov3pwGGcsk http://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Duffy 3-1 NFL playoffs. Side and total on San Fran-Dallas, plus night side. https://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Philadelphia-Tampa (-7.5, 46.5) Opened -8.5, 49.5 🏈63% bets, but just 33% of cash on TB 🏈59% tickets but just 45% money on over 🖥Duffy won in both NBA + NFL. 8 winners, 3 sports 💲 WagerWeb https://t.co/NvFYIjpQM7 with 50% welcome bonus. BTC friendly http://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Raiders-Bengals (-5.5, 48.5) Opened -6, 48 🏈51% bets, 89% of money on Raiders 🏈69% bets on OVER, but just 35% of handle 🖥Duffy off 5-1 massive NFL, NBA up 💲Bet at Bovada https://t.co/Lnmuk1a5Ml also great online casino with 3K welcome bonus! http://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NBA Betting: Top Teams ATS to bet on or Against, Best Totals Wagering Teams Revealed too #VegasInsider #FreeVegasPicks #SportsService #FreeSportsPicksDaily #GamblingTwitter http://dlvr.it/SH4xBt?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NBA Betting: Top Teams ATS to bet on or Against, Best Totals Wagering Teams Revealed too http://www.joeduffy.net/blog/?p=18803&utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Early Edge Sports Betting Odds: NFL Wild Card Prop bets https://www.joeduffy.net/blog/2022/01/early-edge-sports-betting-odds-nfl-wild-card-prop-bets/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

I've been saying how contrarian betting has made a dramatic comeback, if one knows not to simply blindly fade percentages. This is why. Thank you squares for keeping books in business and creating additional opportunities by falling into every trap. https://www.axios.com/sports-betting-record-month-new-york-864df462-08ab-439a-bd5d-03191c801a9b.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Sometimes dumb luck is in your favor, sometimes it gets you. OVER bettors who whined need to quit gambling. https://twitter.com/DavidPurdum/status/1481018860102987787?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Grizzzlies. Bam. Holy hell LateInfo is friggin off the chain.

Except Fassel wasn't hired until '97 and the Giants had THREE head coaches from '87 until they hired him. https://twitter.com/FieldYates/status/1481033273442717698?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

2023 College Football National Championship Odds #GamblingTwitter #SportsLocks #VegasInsiders #FreeVegasPicks #SportsBettingService http://dlvr.it/SGvSFT?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

UGA first two plays of 3rd, 11 and 19 yards runs. Here's an idea, don't run again. Brilliant.

Public Betting Dogs Opening Weekend NFL Playoffs; Super Bowl Odds Updated http://www.joeduffy.net/blog/2022/01/public-betting-dogs-opening-weekend-nfl-playoffs-super-bowl-odds-updated/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NBA Championship Odds Update: Chicago Bulls Hottest Team in the League . #sportsgambling #sportsbetting #sportstips https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nba/championship-update-chicago-bulls-hottest-team/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Wow, I know the low-hanging fruit is to make it a race issue, but this is shocking beyond all hell. He won't be unemployed long. https://twitter.com/AdamSchefter/status/1480547317967204365?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

2022 NFL Playoff Odds: NFC Lines Set #SportsLocks #BettingFormulas #FreeVegasPicks #VegasInsider #FreeSportsPicksDaily http://dlvr.it/SGqh7p?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

2022 NFL Playoff Odds: NFC Lines Set https://www.joeduffy.net/blog/2022/01/2022-nfl-playoff-odds-nfc-lines-set/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

🏈Biggest public consensus, % of bets: Football Team, Vikings, Bucs 🏈Most lopsided bets % of money: Titans, Patriots, Saints, Rams 🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Saints, Rams, Giants LateInfo, 4:25 ET NFL side. http://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Fave type of email from clients returning after hiatus; tell us destroyed by "free" cappers, whose job is simply to reinforce square beliefs while sending you to sports books. "Saw them last week and they couldn't stop the run. This week's foe runs well. Fade them." #SuperSquare

Cowboys vs Eagles Betting Preview & Pick – NFL Week 18 Odds Duffy, sweet discover to enhance NFL "under" math angle. #handicapping #vegasbetting #sportspicks https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nfl/cowboys-vs-eagles-preview-pick-week-18/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Duffy added natty side and total at https://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

We had some routing issues in which some in the US may not have been able to access for about 20 minutes. All clear https://offshoreinsiders.com/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NFL 2021-22 Season: Chicago Bears at Minnesota Betting Prediction & Pick Vincent 5-0 NCAAB. 2 Perfect Plays and more today #sportstips #sportshandicapper #betting https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nfl/chicago-bears-at-minnesota-prediction-pick/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NFL 2021-22 Season: Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Analysis & Prediction Vincent 5-0 NCAAB. 2 Perfect Plays and more today #freepicks #sportshandicapping #sportstips https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nfl/indianapolis-colts-vs-jacksonville-jaguars-analysis-prediction/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NFL 2021-22 Season: Giants at Washington Betting Prediction & Pick Vincent 5-0 NCAAB. 2 Perfect Plays and more today #vegasodds #sportsfreepicks #freesportspicks https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nfl/giants-at-washington-prediction-pick/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NFL 2021-22 Season: Packers vs Lions Odds, Analysis & Prediction Vincent 5-0 NCAAB. 2 Perfect Plays and more today #vegasodds #sportstips #freesportspicks https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nfl/packers-vs-lions-odds-analysis-prediction/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

@rvdsportspicks @FezzikSports I don't get it. For example, I have full respect for RAS, but would often bet AGAINST the steam after they moved totals. What bookie does not love steam chasers who ignore that lines are stale?

@FezzikSports I know at one time you were the most respected gamblers in the world, so not questioning your credulity. But anyone who follows steam bets stale lines. What book wouldn't want that? Not sure I follow.

Betting Exchange: Manning Curse, Redskins New Name, many NFL odds updated #BettingFormulas #SportsLocks #FreeVegasPicks #FreeSportsPicksDaily #ComputerBettingSystem http://dlvr.it/SGbcgk?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Betting Exchange: Manning Curse, Redskins New Name, many NFL odds updated https://www.joeduffy.net/blog/2022/01/betting-exchange-manning-curse-redskins-new-name-many-nfl-odds-updated/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NFL 2021 MVP Betting Update: Aaron Rodgers Clear Favorite, Joe Burrow Could Surprise Duffy with massive CBB and football portfolio. #sportsfreepicks #sportshandicapping #sportstips https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nfl/mvp-aaron-rodgers-clear-favorite-joe-burrow-could-surprise/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Early CFP 2021-22 National Championship Odds: Georgia vs Alabama Betting Preview . #sportshandicapping #freesportspicks #sportstips https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/ncaaf/early-national-championship-georgia-vs-alabama-preview/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

2021 Texas Bowl Betting: Kansas State vs LSU Odds . #sportspicks #sportsbetting #sportshandicapper https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/ncaaf/texas-bowl-kansas-state-vs-lsu-odds/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NFL 2021/22 Playoffs Betting Predictions: NFC and AFC Possible Matchups Update . #vegasodds #sportspicks #sportstips https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nfl/playoffs-predictions-nfc-afc-possible-matchups/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NBA Championship Odds Update: Nets and Warriors Still Favorites to Win it All . #freepicks #betting #handicapping https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nba/championship-update-nets-warriors-still-favorites-win-all/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Biggest bets % of bets Towson, Bucks, Magic (dog) % of handle Oregon St, Wizards, 76ers, Nuggets Bet at MyBookie 100% sign-up bonus NOW Duffy 7-0 Wise Guys, 2 more tonight https://t.co/JXB6mIxNbA https://bit.ly/mbsbos?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Top NBA Week 12 Matches to Wager On Monday Duffy again proves best on earth. 7 straight Wise Guy winners, 16-8 overal #sportshandicapping #sportshandicapper #sportstips https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nba/top-week-12-matches-wager-on-monday/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

NFL Betting Odds: Sure Losers Week 18 Duffy again proves best on earth. 7 straight Wise Guy winners, 16-8 overal #vegasbetting #sportshandicapping #vegasodds https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nfl/sure-losers-week-18/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Week 18 NFL Upset Picks Duffy again proves best on earth. 7 straight Wise Guy winners, 16-8 overal #sportstips #freesportspicks #sportspicks https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/nfl/week-18-upset-picks/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

2022 ATP Cup Betting Update: Tsitsipas vs Schwartzman Highlights Monday Action Duffy again proves best on earth. 7 straight Wise Guy winners, 16-8 overal #sportsbetting #sportshandicapper #vegasodds https://record.webpartners.co/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/news/tennis/atp-cup-tsitsipas-vs-schwartzman-highlights-monday/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=blogger

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Tampa, Detroit (public dog) Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New England, Seattle, Pittsburgh Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Seattle, Jets, Miami

That's why I passed on Ohio State-Utah. Talent wise, OSU definitely the bet. "Intangibles" all Utah--among biggest games ever vs. team that wanted to play last night. So appropriate how the spread could have gone either way.